Posted by RMA on 29/03/2020 10:37:43:
Posted by duncan webster on 27/03/2020 11:31:49:
Posted by Bill Chugg on 27/03/2020 09:04:03:
Posted by duncan webster on 27/03/2020 08:55:05:
Posted by Hopper on 27/03/2020 05:46:04:
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When it stops raining i might even go for a solo motorbike ride just to break things up a bit. Ive got half a dozen, all with full tanks so should last me the duration.
Edited By Hopper on 27/03/2020 05:49:26
Only if you're prepared for a £30 fine and a criminal record. Going for a spin on your bike is not 'essential'
Duncan, I think Hopper is in Australia and not sure if tthe police are issuing fines.
Edited By Bill Chugg on 27/03/2020 09:04:33
Mea Culpa
but they are stopping people in the UK
I don't know of anyone actually being stopped by the Police in the UK. We simply don't have enough officers to be effective in this. The media keep on saying the UK is in 'lock down', it isn't. Boris has only issued advice, nothing mandatory other than closing selective businesses and gatherings.
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As many have said on here, going out for food is the weakest link. We stay indoors for a week and then go to the supermarket, all the good work possibly undone, but there is no alternative….Media headlines this morning speculating that it could go on beyond June is no help to anyone, it just fuels anxiety.
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Is the world taking this seriously? I've just looked at Flight Radar and it's surprising how full the skies are with aircraft! I personally think world economy is getting more consideration than world health!
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Police certainly are stopping people in the UK, but the official approach is to persuade rather than bully. Transgressors here are more likely to be told to engage brain rather than be fined, but I see there have already been a few prison sentences handed down for aggravated bad behaviour. Softly softly usually works better. If things get worse, then the gloves might well come off!
It's impossible and undesirable to stop all movement all of the time: If no-one was allowed out, then electricity, gas and water would fail. Not collecting rubbish causes disease. We need to eat, get urgent medical attention, repair and replace appliances, and fix leaks etc etc. There are plenty of good reasons why some people will have to take risks – like hospital workers. Almost impossible to write a definitive list of exactly what is and is not allowed – it's an emergency.
The purpose of the lock down is to prevent the Health Service being overloaded by too many people getting sick at the same time. The lock down is like a parachute, it doesn't stop us falling, but certainly makes landing safer! To slow down the rate at which the virus spreads, it's only necessary to reduce the number of contacts made between people in a given time. Daily shopping makes far more contacts than once per week. A country walk makes fewer contacts than a town walk and staying indoors limits contacts almost entirely.
Passenger flights have been mostly stopped because people spread the virus, not objects or animals. The benefit of allowing air-freight (including food), outweighs the risk caused by small numbers of air-crew.
How long will this go on for? Left to spread freely the epidemic would probably burn out before the end of June. But it's not being allowed to rip freely through the community because that maximises casualties. With luck the lock down will eliminate the virus simply because it can't find new hosts. Unfortunately there's a risk a more resilient than usual virus could cause repeated flare ups. (COVID-19 appears to be short-lived and delicate.) And the Game changes in our favour if a vaccine becomes available by adding another way of blocking the spread.
My guess is the epidemic will be over by September, but we won't be back to normal straight away. Government got parliament to extend the current batch of emergency powers for 2 years, which is a clue they foresee more risk ahead. (Precautionary – risks don't always come about.)
There will be permanent change as a result of this experience. Don't know what exactly. It appears large numbers of people can work successfully from home. They might be encouraged to carry on permanently, which could take a lot of cars off the road. In the same way, people might switch to buying food online for home delivery rather than trudging around supermarkets. We may all get poorer. Only time will tell what happens next – like playing poker, the outcome of an epidemic can't be completely certain.
Dave