Posted by martin perman on 09/05/2019 13:26:24:
So to sum up on what I've read so far: My wife and I are stuffed, we are both in our sixties, my wife is an invalid and cant drive and we own a diesel car which is ten years old has low mileage and was going to see us out, we cannot afford any sort of new electric vehicle, we both have mobility scooters but cant/not allowed, no footpaths, to drive them on the roads and by the time the EV's become second hand they will require unaffordable, to me, battery packs, will have a limited range if I tow a trailer. We live in a village with a very limited bus service with five miles in any direction to buy the essentials which will cost us the earth because it will all have to be delivered. Whoopee 
Martin P
Edited By martin perman on 09/05/2019 13:28:58
Me too, but can I ask what the plan is when you eventually become too old or ill to drive yourself? At that point the IC vs EV debate becomes irrelevant.
Thing is, given time to adapt, people manage. Large numbers of people who need to travel but can't afford a car will revitalise public transport. We've been there before, Before the car, most shops delivered, and we're headed back that way – the high-street is currently being devastated because people prefer to buy online and have stuff delivered.
My car certainly isn't essential. I suspect it would be cheaper for me to travel everywhere by taxi. Instead I pay a lot of money for the convenience of keeping a car ready for action.
I hate change. It's only necessary because something has gone wrong. Someone always gets hurt on the way. Don't panic though, I think your diesel should last you out. The shift to electric is going to take a few decades.
Listened to a couple of politicians discussing carbon tax on the radio last week. The conservative minister and his labour shadow were in agreement. Both took the line that consumers are not paying the full cost of carbon at the moment and that they should in future. Thing is, every time we burn something, the effluvia damages health, and the environment, and contributes to global warming which is causing floods and agricultural damage. Timescale for change – between 2025 and 2040. I think that means most of us could buy a new IC car today and expect to get decent use out of it. By 2025 the same decision might be distinctly unwise, and it could be unthinkable by 2040.
Predicting the future is almost impossible, but I'd expect private car owners living in cities and particularly polluted towns to get whacked first, diesel before petrol. Then, discouragement spreading out depending on how bad – or not – the local problem is. I predict many exemptions, for example I doubt farmers will ever be told to scrap their IC vehicles and no doubt the disabled and elderly will be considered.
Who knows what's going to happen next – the UK economy might nosedive, US vs China might disrupt world trade, and perhaps catastrophic climate change will make motoring the least of humanities problems. Or AI will mean that no-one needs to work, and all manufacturing will be local. More likely, the future will still be comfortable, but there's no doubt it will be different.
Dave