Posted by Adam Harris on 16/06/2020 11:16:24:
In a Brexit No Deal scenario, what would be the WTO duty on EU workshop machinery, new and used?
No one knows beyond: 'If you are exporting a product to a country that the UK has no trade agreement with from 31 December 2020, the importer will pay the non-preferential tariff rate applied in that country to its imports.'
So the UK could choose to charge zero duty on machines imported from the EU (hurrah), while the EU elects to charge WTO duty on imports from the UK (weeping and wailing). However, as unbalanced duty is unfair to exporters it's economically vital for the UK to negotiate effectively.
Patchy progress so far with Trade Deals and the 1 January 2021 deadline is looming. As of today, 16th June, 20 Agreements with other Countries and Trading Blocs are expected to kick in next year. The big gap is the absence of agreements with the EU, USA, or China, and with many other significant players such as Canada, Brazil, Mexico or Australia etc. It could get rough. At present a high proportion of UK trade with the world is covered by EU Agreements and it's unclear what will happen to the overall cost of imports or exports when the UK leaves.
WTO rules are a welcome safety net but they're far from the whole story. Exporting under WTO terms puts the UK at an immediate 3% disadvantage, hopefully temporary. Unfortunately 'Border Formalities' will also be troublesome – additional checks and paperwork in both directions, total cost unknown.
Borders have two sides, and the other party may not be sympathetic! Even if they aren't bloody-minded, they the other side must negotiate to their best advantage. Much of the way ahead is outside UK control. London's writ doesn't extend to Brussels, Paris, Berlin, or Washington! So successful negotiations are vital. The government has to make good deals with the EU and our other major trading partners. Forget promises and spin, it's time for the politicians to deliver solid results. Let's hope they do!
Dave